CAPM — Capital Asset Pricing Model
CAPM calculates the expected return on an investment based on its systematic risk (beta). It's fundamental to stock valuation and portfolio management.
Capital Asset Pricing Model
E(R) = Rf + Beta × (Rm - Rf)
Where:
- E(R) = Expected return on the stock
- Rf = Risk-free rate (government bond yield)
- Beta = Stock's sensitivity to market movements
- Rm = Expected market return
Step-by-Step:
- 1
Find risk-free rate
Use 10-year government bond yield (currently ~7% in India).
- 2
Find beta
Available on financial websites. Beta >1 = more volatile than market.
- 3
Estimate market return
Historical Nifty returns: ~12%. Market premium = Rm - Rf.
- 4
Apply CAPM
Expected return = Rf + Beta × (Rm - Rf).
Worked Examples:
Stock expected return
Rf: 7%Beta: 1.3Rm: 12%
Result: E(R) = 13.5%
7% + 1.3 × (12% - 7%) = 7% + 6.5% = 13.5% expected return